Three days after the Opposition primary, Chávez launched a famously weird attack on the winner Henrique Capriles Radonski over and over in “cadena nacional”. But that was never going to be a winning strategy for October. You don’t reach the median voter with fire and brimstone, you reach him with telenovela fare – which is why you can be sure that, now that he has those majunches out of his system, Chávez will go back on a love offensive soon enough, probably even before the official campaign begins on July 1st.
Enter legendary Brazilian campaign operative João Santana.
Santana was the man behind Lula’s 2006 reelection and Dilma Rouseff’s 2010 victory. He was also involved in Mauricio Funes’s 2009 win in El Salvador and even Olanta Humala admitted that he talked with him prior to his victory in Peru last year. He’s currently helping Danilo Medina, the candidate of the incumbent party for the upcoming presidential election in Dominican Republic next May.
Now, brazilian newspaper O Globo reports that the Chávez campaign hired Santana to “Lulify” him, helping him find a more conciliatory, moderate message that might appeal to the political center. Given recent developments, it might also be the preparation of a “Plan B” campaign if Chávez cannot run for reelection and someone else takes the baton.
With all the might of the State and an unlimited checkbook at his disposal, Chávez hopes that Santana can transform him from this.. …to this, in a matter of months. Easier said than done.
Randon v. Santana… That’ll be something for the ages…
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Oh, boy… I meant Rendon…
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So, we’ll get plenty of smooches and Lulabies until Oct? Let’s see if he can.
However, this is a hopeful sign. If he had to hire this guy, it shows they are más cagao’s que palito e’ gallinero. (more covered in shit than a hay piece in a chicken’s nest)
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BTW, Quiiiiiicooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!
You need to teach Puns 101 to Gustavo, chico, I can’t believe he let go the Lulaby one. Tsk tsk
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I like the addition of the idiom. It is not that they are suddenly “más caga’os..” as they always have been. It is that they suddenly recognize it. “Oh my God, I may have gone too far.”
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João Santana was able dupe Brazilians into re-electing a dictator-loving mobster like Lula and then electing a semi-literate like Dilma. However, the former had less than half the offensive language Chavez has, Brazil was improving despite him, and the latter was a nobody who never opened her mouth. Chavez has been screwing Venezuela for 13 years. Va a tener que echarle un camión para deshacer todo lo que Esteban ha hecho.
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Then y’all wonder where conservative Brazilians get their reputation for being reactionaries…
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I dunno. Lula does love some nasty dictators.
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Maybe, if I were poor brazilian, I´d give a rat ass about my President´s sexual fantasies with the Khadafys or Ahmadinejades of the world, as long as the guy keep saying I matter a lot and back his words with a Bolsa Familia check…think about it
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‘Tas sonando como un Brazilian PSF, Omar! :)
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I agree, as most Ninis in Venezuela don’t care about Chavez’s fantasies too, I think what people resents the most regarding his foreign policy is the regaladera
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There are things called Principles…just saying!
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So the choice is between a principle and a Bolsa Familia check…mhhmmm…I choose the principle, but just to clarify, I ain’t a poor brazilian…
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The only people clean of that in my boook are Scandinavians and maybe Canadians. Nobody pays attention to them, and ignore the subject.
Obama has pictures with Obiang, Sarkozy with Ghaddafi, Berlusconi idem. So, if we judge by those standards, pretty much all developed world politicians are scum. Or all of them care about realpolitik and principles be damned. Rumsfeld shook Saddam’s hand.
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– Can you refute the fact that Lula loves every dictator he meets?
– Since I know Brazilian politics -and you don’t know shit about it- I can safely call the PT (Partido dos Trabalhadores) a mafia. Lula being his boss, he’s a mobster.
– If your Portuguese level were the same of a 12yr old garotinho, not only would you know that Dilma is semi-literate, but you also would speak better Portuguese than her.
And if you enjoy calling anybody on your right “reactionary”, knock yourself out, pero no te arreches cuando te llame wacko por escribir en el HuffPo.
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From the little I know about Brazilian Politics, I heard about the rampant corruption in the PT, and I agree that Lula shows the usual hypocrisy of the left of supporting any government, even the worst dictatorships, if they oppose the US. But seem from a distance, any government not trying to destroy the economy and rule and rule of law on purpose seems like Sweden to us. Does Dilma really speak that bad?
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Just google “Dilmês”, copy some of her “statements”, paste them into Google Translator and see if you can get something that makes sense.
Have you heard Venezuelan baseball players? Well, they speak better Spanish than Dilma speaks Portuguese.
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You are right about the rampant corruption in PT, but even though I dislike Lula A LOT and criticize vehemently his absurd friendship with the likes of Castro or Ahmadinejad or the dreaded barines de mierda, it is unfair to say that he held an anti-North American stance during his government… if he had, this video would be very hard to explain: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WjUAebVKiEo
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Semi-literate? I don’t know much about Brazil, but: can’t she write properly? Is her education worse than that of the average Brazilian or Brazilian politician, for that matter?
I read she didn’t finish her university studies. Still, I am curious about how this half-literacy is.
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Apparently, she was embarking on other, ahem, endeavours.
http://twittervenezuela.co/profiles/blogs/dilma-rousseff-terrorista-y?xg_source=activity
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I think she got her BA degree, but there was a controversy because she claimed to had received a Masters and a PHD, but it turned out that she had enrolled in the programs but never finished them. But I wouldn’t called her semi-literate.
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You’d have to know Portuguese to actually grasp how bad her speaking skills are. Let me put it this way: she is to Portuguese as Pedro Carreño is to Spanish, and worse. We call it “Dilmês”, not Português.
She did finish College, though she lied about having a PhD.
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I am not so sure that this is a smart move for Chavez. In communicating with “the people”, he has been a rule unto himself for a long time. I think that for him to try speaking differently than he does now, will expose his weaknesses rather than hide them.
Bottom line: This little experiment with Santana won’t last.
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Well, he did that one of “Por amor”…for love to us he became
a George Patton
a Da Vinci
a Rubén Darío
a Joe DiMaggio
And the majority of my compatriots bought into that.
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No, they bought into the stuff he was giving away, and many did not buy it, but they also did not buy Mi Negra.
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You are probably right.
“Billete mata a galán.”..also in politics.
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Money is just part of the equation. there are true believers among chavistas, people that actually believe that Chavez is a nice chap fighting the good fight. Chavistas are not two-dimensional characters that are only concerned about the money. As you point out, they did not fall for la negra, so it’s not all about the money.
I remember a post in devil’s blog about some chavistas liking the sms that Chavez sent to every cell phone on New Year’s eve. I’m pretty sure that many gullible people actually believed that “por amor” crap. There are persons that are nothing but starry-eyed fans of famous and powerful people, and Chavez is for them not different to your average soap opera protagonist or TV star…
That “por amor” worked once, they may as well give it a second shot. Like I some other time: elections are all about the center: Capriles goes left, Chavez goes moderate… not much different to what Republicans and Democrats do…
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Agree. Santana will not be fired; he’ll quit.
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hopefully… it’s the poor chiabe pity party i’m afraid of, ’cause he is sick poesito…yesterday around el llanito i learned that chavistas were crying and they are saying a mass this afternoon for his recovery. forgetting all the creepy babalao and santero stuff he indulges in not to repeat other creepier and bloodier rumors about voodoo etc etc
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but i heard that SCR was hiring another brazilian… what about JJrendón?? i think segnor sanatana will have a very hard time, although the cancer story pity party may help his pupil :(
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Name is Renato Pereira. He worked for Rio de Janeiro’s state and city winners the last time around.
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Taking advice requires humility. This guy’s going to get a big headache and a gigantic payday, por absolutamente nada.
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Maybe you guys haven’t noticed but I don’t think Chavez needs much advice on how to win an election. His overall record is something like 8-1. And even his one loss was just barely. Every time he’s been up for reelection he has not only won, but he has thrashed his opponent.
Santana should be getting advice from Chavez, not the other way around.
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Oh no its Patty Hearst.
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ja ja ja ja or sean penn or danny glover, or… any of those commie desk intellectuals
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I guess you didn’t have time to create a Wikipedia entry to support this claim this time. The Wikipedia scholar has spoken
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You can start here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugo_Ch%C3%A1vez
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So … why did he hire him? Or is O Globo wrong in its story?
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To make sure he hits his goal of 70%?
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70% of state employees? I doubt it. There are like 32% of state employees who are actually in their work because of their skills and not because they are pro-Chavez. Most of them know they won’t be fired after Chávez is in prison.
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Before he advises Santana, maybe he should warn him that most of the advise only work is the politician he’s advising has unlimited access to his country’s funds to buy support, a submissive electoral agency and unlimited and unfair and unlimited access to public media.
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Dude, Nice try, but I guess you didn’t even read about the very first election. Go read again:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugo_Ch%C3%A1vez#1998_election
Oh, and read about the second election too:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugo_Ch%C3%A1vez#Second_Presidential_Term:_2000.E2.80.932006
By the way, if you can provide support for any of your nonsense claims above it would be nice to see it.
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I have also edited that article and the German one. It’s fun
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Do you also wear a tin-foil hat? Because you’d have to be a complete idiot to insinuate that the electoral results that appear on these pages are somehow falsified.
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See, for the “nonsense” claim for the abuse of power media, you just might turn on any tv on Venezuela at any time, for use of funds go to any Ministerio during a Marcha, God, if you delude yourself into thinking that Hugo Chavez only wins elections because he is the wonderful reincarnation of Bolivar, go ahead.
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As I expected, you couldn’t provide any evidence for anything you said.
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You keep making the mistake that “Clueless Idiot” up above there will actually be convinced by whatever you say. You could send him up in a rocket to show him the Earth is round, and he’ll find some wiki article that says the Earth is flat, and the edge is right next to Cleveland.
Best thing to do is ignore his BS so that he goes away. Don’t fall for it, mano.
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Yes, because the wiki articles I linked to up above clearly distort the reality. Chavez didn’t really win all those elections by large margins. You guys crack me up.
But really CACR, you would be better off taking Roberto’s advice and ignoring me.
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Cacr, Kepler, Canucklehead – you really need to hang your heads in shame. It’s 2012, guys, has R.G. Aveledo taught you nothing?
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Yeah guys, follow Quico’s example. He has shown us that the best strategy is to just keep hanging onto your nonsense delusions.
For example, Quico still claims that the 2002 coup wasn’t actually pre-planned by the opposition, even though the evidence overwhelmingly shows that it was.
Now that takes some serious skill in professional bullshitting to maintain that claim! Good work Quico!
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Pretty interested in the horse race for a revoluntionary…
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Get a clue you guys!
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Sin vaina, vale!
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And my finger is on the “Spam” button … it would be so easy … so quick … like killing a fly.
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That’s too easy, though, Juan. We should be able to expect better from longtime readers than troll feeding.
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So? Capriles record is literally perfect…
Without use of political intimidation, widespread corruption/conscience buyout, or misuse of State resources on scales never before known in Venezuela, even by AD.
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That’s true, but that’s like saying that my high school football team has a perfect record, so they should be able to beat the NY Giants in the super bowl.
Capriles has a good record in the minor leagues, and, I should say, in a wealthy region of the country where people tend to vote a lot more for opposition candidates.
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If I were an american leftist of any conviction I would be working my ass off 24/7 in my own country right now to save its citizens from a giant tsunami of PAC money instead of taking a paycheck from venezuelans to tell them what I think. She did badly on an SAT or something a while back and now we all have to suffer the consequences. Sorry Francisco. Point taken. I’ll shut up now. And stop the personal attacks on these idiots.
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Yeah, the Venezuelan government pays me to make smart-ass comments here because they are so threatened by a bunch of rich kids who engage in a circle-jerk of showing off their english skills on some little-known blog.
I mean, it is just fascinating to me that there are actually people out there who would be dense enough to believe something like that. That’s why I keep coming back. You guys are just fascinating.
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Hmmm… Methinks the lad dost protest too much.
So, then why are you here? It can’t be a lot of fun, unless you are some sort of masochist.
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well, well mira quién se picó?? patty hearst… well maybe you didn’t know this “little know blog by rich kids showing off their english skills” is read by half of washington DC?? directly out of the mouth of a north american working for obama in the education dept? my dear if you don’t, want, can’t, or whatever form of denial in the said english language understand that chavez has cheated the same way jeb bush and the bush administration did, by wrenching the presidency from al gore, taking advantage of the senior voters in fla. then there is nothing more to discuss here with you, except that you should haul your birkenstocks, che guevara t shirt , without forgetting your noam chomsky and wiki links and come on down to live in las adjuntas, or better yet, at la piedrita, instead of at good ‘ole US of A. if you can’t, don’t, shouldn’t or won’t do something for your country, then don’t dare patronize me on mine, and our own crazy, power hungry, treacherous -for selling our venezuela to fidel-. autocrat. yankee stay home.
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Without cheating… as Chavez did
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cheat, that’s what Hugo did, since the third one. Cheat without shame. Everything but altering the numbers.
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No he didn’t.
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Furthermore, it’s Miquilena, the PPT and others who were masterful. Not Hugo Chavez.
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As if we didn’t have enough clues you’re just a gringo who’s never actually been in Venezuela, you post this one. (Because every chavista in Venezuela knows what the NY Giants are and what high school football is). Are you Sean Penn or that Dilbert or Wimpert or whatever his name was? And don’t let Chavez hear you talking about football again or he’ll call you an imperialist pitiyankee (while he gives his daughter another Hannah Montana CD for her birthday).
And by the way, did you know that in 98 and 2000 Chavez got less votes than Lusinchi and CAP II got in their elections despite a million more registered voters? He was so much less popular than the drunk adeco cartoon and the guy who made Nixon look honest. Also, did you know that before Chavez, the abstention rate of presidential elections in Venezuela was in single digits? And since Chavez, it’s above 30%?
The more you know…
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Dude, settle down. Just because you can’t actually engage my arguments doesn’t mean it is legit to attack me personally. Now, let’s look at your nonsense claims, should we?
“did you know that in 98 and 2000 Chavez got less votes than Lusinchi and CAP II got in their elections despite a million more registered voters? ”
That’s really interesting. But did you know that Chavez got nearly twice as many votes in 2004 and 2006 than both of them? This is a fun game of useless bits of information!
“Also, did you know that before Chavez, the abstention rate of presidential elections in Venezuela was in single digits? ”
No, I didn’t know that, because it’s false. Cap II had abstention of around 20%. Nice try anyway though!
“And since Chavez, it’s above 30%?”
Well, last presidential election in 2006 it was only 25%. Last I checked 25 is not more than 30, but maybe I’m wrong…
“The more you know…”
It looks like the more I talk to you the less I will know… Now run along and play with the rest of your delusional friends…
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so you are studying in a north american high school? are you a gringo? or maybe by chance a venezuelan living in USA?
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You guys have great english skills.
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we do, don’t we? at least i’m not patronizing anybody from a different country for politics and situations which they wouldn’t tolerate in their own country for two seconds without going out and protesting the establishment. specially in an imperfect but democratic system like the US. maybe it’s eva golilla in disguise while on maternity leave… lol and she’s sipping her soy latte
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Do not feed the troll!
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I kind of agree with Roy above…way, way above…when the discussion was still about a new political consultant for Chavez.
I mean…can you imagine what that would really be like?
How do you exercise message discipline in a nine-hour speech?
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give the guy an electric shock everytime he strays off message? (that sounds kind of fun, come to think of it…)
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I don’t know why is this so shocking. Chavez has always been advised in his campaign as far as I know. Perhaps not by traditional political marketers but he was advised to a certain extent by Ceresole for 98, and for later elections by guys like JVR and I am sure that foreign consultants were hired (with public funds for sure) to polish his ads and overall campaign look and feel.
Same with all the government image. A lot of money has been spent in the marketing of the “revolution” political project outside of campaigns.
On the other hand, denying that Chavez is not a media genius would be foolish. If he only was that smart in doing public policy we would be golden. Chavez would have never been elected 50 years ago. His popularity is derived from mass media.
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Rodrigo,
I fully agree. Chávez is the mass media guy. He is our evil Cantinflas who decided to become military and not comedian… in a petrodollar state.
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Yes. It is like if Andy Kaufman (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andy_Kaufman) decided to have a political career.
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