Poll Wars: Middle-class alert

A new poll in Venezuela is showing continued deterioration in Venezuelans’ perceptions of their country, and of President Nicolás Maduro. The Venebarómetro poll, done by respected pollster Ivad in conjunction with Croes, Gutiérrez & Asociados, shows a worsening of the trends for Nicolás Maduro: 84% of Venezuelans think the situation in the country is “bad,” 57% of Venezuelans…

An Election Year Without An Election

Legislative Elections are meant to take place later this year, replacing the National Assembly chosen in 2010 with a new cohort. These elections should, by any reckoning, be the central political event of the year. There’s just one rub: they probably won’t happen. I’m out on a limb here. By indefinitely postponing a vote, Maduro would be…

Monday morning polls

Two new polls continue to show that support for the Maduro government has never been softer. The first one is from Datanálisis. Obviously, one of the slides that jumps out is the one showing that support for Maduro has never been this low. Nevertheless, we should be careful. While the opposition is currently more popular than chavismo,…

IVAD & Leopoldo

Happy Monday, everyone. A new poll in my Inbox today, this one from IVAD which, as you probably know, usually leans toward the government in its numbers. The highlights: 77% of those polled think the government is headed in the wrong direction; 82.5% say the country is mired in an economic crisis; 78.9% think the country is…

Should protests end? Polls suggest so (Updated)

Two recent polls from opposing pollsters (one leans chavista, the other leans opposition) suggest patience with the protests is wearing thin. IVAD, a local pollster that has long leaned towards the government, says that roughly half of Venezuelans want the protests to stop, and this figure is slightly higher than those that agree with the protests. On the other…