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Tag Archives: elections

Forecasting the 2015 National Assembly Elections

Is it possible to forecast how many seats the government and the opposition will get in the National Assembly on the basis of National-level polls? It’s a tough problem, but ahead of the 2010 National Assembly election, we showed it can be done. And this year, with a little help from our friends over at Distortioland,…

August 20, 2015 in Legislative elections, Politics, Polls.

Three Weeks Out: The Supposedly-(but-not-really)-Pre-Campaign Round Up

Let’s recap of the first seven days of non-campaign campaigning, or in criollo doublespeak: pre-campaña. Technically, you see, the official campaign only starts on April 1st and lasts a mere 10 days. Obviously neither candidate has taken the CNE campaign schedule particularly seriously. Capriles began a nation-wide stump tour, hitting two states per day, holding mass…

March 25, 2013 in Politics, Presidential Election.
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