As of 6:51 p.m., based on numerous sources, we can safely predict Henrique Capriles has won the opposition’s nomination.
Congratulations to all the candidates for a great primary. On to October, united we stand.
It’s too early to predict a margin. However, here’s a number for you (and take this with a big lump of salt): loyal reader Omar is in charge of the quick count for the Capriles campaign. He says
“Random stratified sample:
HCR 60.2, PP 36.1, MCM 2.3, DA 0,7. Margin of error, +/- 3.5%.”
Second quick count. Error of +/- 3%. Capriles 61.4%, Perez 34.7%, Machado 2.6%, Arria 0.8%, Medina 0.5%.
MUD’s numbers seem to match Omar’s. I guess I’ll be eating that “big lump of salt” I wrote about earlier on a nice slice of humble pie.
El Nacional says, “So far, Capriles has 1,722,422 votes, followed by Pablo Perez with 844,562 and in third place María Corina Machado with 96,954”. That’s 2.66 million votes. Huge!
Omar, in unbelievable circumstances, designed a flawless quick count. KUDOS!!!